Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:00 · Everton vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Everton win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Everton49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
West Ham United24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
DrawWinDrawDrawDraw
- Mar 8 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)1-1
- Feb 26 · at Brentford (A)1-1
- Feb 22 · v Manchester United (H)2-2
- Feb 15 · at Crystal Palace (A)2-1
- Feb 12 · v Liverpool (H)2-2
West Ham United
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Mar 10 · v Newcastle United (H)0-1
- Feb 27 · v Leicester City (H)2-0
- Feb 22 · at Arsenal (A)1-0
- Feb 15 · v Brentford (H)0-1
- Feb 3 · at Chelsea (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Everton | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-2 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.