Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Tue, Oct 13 · 13:30 · Fajr Sepasi FC vs Aluminium Arak
Likeliest: draw · 35%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 35% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fajr Sepasi FC35%——
OursMarket
Draw35%——
OursMarket
Aluminium Arak30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 39% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fajr Sepasi FC
WinDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 8 · at Sepahan S.C. (A)1-6
- Sep 7 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-1
- Sep 3 · v Mes Shahr Babak (H)1-1
- Aug 29 · v Zob Ahan (H)0-0
- Aug 24 · at Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (A)1-0
Aluminium Arak
WinDrawWinDrawDraw
- Oct 8 · v Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (H)1-1
- Sep 6 · v Esteghlal FC (H)0-0
- Sep 1 · at Gol Gohar Sirjan (A)2-0
- Aug 28 · v Kheybar Khorramabad FC (H)2-2
- Aug 23 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Fajr Sepasi FC | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-2 | 4-6-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.