Superettan (Sweden) · Sat, Oct 17 · 13:00 · Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona
Likeliest: Landskrona win · 36%
Likely score: 1–2
We make it 62% for both teams to score. The market says 56%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Falkenbergs FF35%37%−3
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+2
OursMarket
Landskrona36%36%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | 56% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | 63% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Falkenbergs FF
LossWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 11 · at Värnamo (A)2-1
- Sep 18 · v Östersunds FK (H)0-0
- Sep 13 · at Ljungskile SK (A)2-0
- Sep 10 · v Östers IF (H)2-1
- Sep 5 · at IK Oddevold (A)1-2
Landskrona
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 10 · v Sandvikens IF (H)3-2
- Sep 19 · at United IK Nordic (A)4-1
- Sep 15 · v GIF Sundsvall (H)4-0
- Sep 9 · v Helsingborg (H)1-2
- Sep 5 · at Norrby IF (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Falkenbergs FF | Landskrona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-1 | 6-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.