K League 1 (South Korea) · Sat, Oct 24 · 05:00 · FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Likeliest: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win · 53%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 53% for the away win. The market says 50%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Anyang20%24%−4
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors53%50%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 54% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 80% | 76% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 27% | 32% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Anyang
LossDrawWinWinDraw
- Oct 18 · at Pohang Steelers (A)0-0
- Oct 10 · at Gimcheon Sangmu FC (A)1-0
- Sep 19 · v Ulsan HD (H)2-1
- Sep 13 · at Gwangju FC (A)1-1
- Sep 9 · at Daejeon Hana Citizen (A)2-3
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 18 · v Jeju SK (H)3-2
- Oct 14 · at Vissel Kobe (A)0-2
- Oct 9 · at Daejeon Hana Citizen (A)1-2
- Sep 20 · v Gwangju FC (H)2-2
- Sep 16 · v Kashiwa Reysol (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Anyang | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-4 | 2-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.