Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Oct 31 · 19:30 · FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund
Likeliest: Borussia Dortmund win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Augsburg30%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Borussia Dortmund49%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 38% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 28 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-6
- Oct 18 · at FC Köln (A)1-1
- Oct 4 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · at Heidenheim (A)1-2
Borussia Dortmund
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 25 · v FC Köln (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · at FC København (A)4-2
- Oct 18 · at FC Bayern München (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v RB Leipzig (H)1-1
- Oct 1 · v Athletic Club (H)4-1
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 6-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.