Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Apr 25 · 13:30 · FC Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Likeliest: FC Augsburg win · 47%
A 47% home win. The market says 37%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Augsburg47%37%+10
OursMarket
Draw23%25%−2
OursMarket
Eintracht Frankfurt30%38%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 63% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 62% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 63% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 49% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
LossLossDrawDrawWin
- Apr 18 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)2-1
- Apr 10 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)2-2
- Apr 4 · at Hamburger SV (A)1-1
- Mar 22 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)2-5
- Mar 14 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Apr 18 · v RB Leipzig (H)1-3
- Apr 11 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)2-1
- Apr 5 · v FC Köln (H)2-2
- Mar 22 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)1-2
- Mar 14 · v Heidenheim (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
FC Augsburg form·Eintracht Frankfurt form·Head-to-head record