Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Aug 30 · 15:30 · FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
Likeliest: FC Augsburg win · 48%
We make it 49% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Augsburg48%44%+4
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
FC Schalke 0426%31%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 58% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 60% | −12 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 69% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 56% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 59% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Aug 22 · at Energie Cottbus (A)2-0
- May 16 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-4
- May 9 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)3-1
- May 2 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-1
- Apr 25 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
FC Schalke 04
Draw
- Aug 24 · at Hallescher FC (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 70% | — |
| Clean sheets | 10% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.