Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Feb 14 · 19:30 · FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Augsburg37%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
RB Leipzig37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Feb 8 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · at St. Pauli (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Heidenheim (H)2-1
- Jan 19 · at Werder Bremen (A)2-0
RB Leipzig
WinDrawLossDrawWin
- Feb 9 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-0
- Jan 29 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-2
- Jan 22 · v Sporting CP (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-2 | 3-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.