Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Mar 2 · 16:30 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
Likeliest: FC Augsburg win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Augsburg38%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
SC Freiburg35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
DrawLossDrawDrawWin
- Feb 22 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)3-0
- Feb 14 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
- Feb 8 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · at St. Pauli (A)1-1
SC Freiburg
LossWinWinWinWin
- Feb 21 · v Werder Bremen (H)5-0
- Feb 15 · at St. Pauli (A)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Heidenheim (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)1-0
- Jan 25 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-2 | 5-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 22% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 56% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.