Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Mar 15 · 14:30 · FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
Likeliest: FC Augsburg win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Augsburg40%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
VfL Wolfsburg35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Augsburg
DrawDrawWinDrawWin
- Mar 8 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)1-0
- Mar 2 · v SC Freiburg (H)0-0
- Feb 22 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)3-0
- Feb 14 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
- Feb 8 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-0
VfL Wolfsburg
WinDrawLossWinDraw
- Mar 8 · v St. Pauli (H)1-1
- Mar 1 · at Werder Bremen (A)2-1
- Feb 26 · at RB Leipzig (A)0-1
- Feb 22 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)1-1
- Feb 15 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Augsburg | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-4-1 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.