La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 2 · 13:00 · FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 62%
A tight one: we make it 62% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Barcelona62%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Deportivo Alavés17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Barcelona
WinDrawWinWinDraw
- Jan 29 · v Atalanta (H)2-2
- Jan 26 · v Valencia (H)7-1
- Jan 21 · at Benfica (A)5-4
- Jan 18 · at Getafe (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · v Real Betis (H)5-1
Deportivo Alavés
LossWinDraw
- Jan 27 · v Celta de Vigo (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Real Betis (A)3-1
- Jan 11 · v Girona (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | FC Barcelona | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-0 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 4.0 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | — |
| Both teams scored | 83% | — |
| Clean sheets | 17% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.