La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 2 · 15:15 · FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 67%
A tight one: we make it 67% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Barcelona67%——
OursMarket
Draw17%——
OursMarket
Real Sociedad14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 32% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Barcelona
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Feb 25 · v Atlético Madrid (H)4-4
- Feb 22 · at Las Palmas (A)2-0
- Feb 17 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)1-0
- Feb 9 · at Sevilla (A)4-1
- Feb 6 · at Valencia (A)5-0
Real Sociedad
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 26 · v Real Madrid (H)0-1
- Feb 23 · v Leganés (H)3-0
- Feb 20 · v FC Midtjylland (H)5-2
- Feb 16 · at Real Betis (A)0-3
- Feb 13 · at FC Midtjylland (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Barcelona | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-3-0 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-0 | 2-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.