La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Jan 26 · 20:00 · FC Barcelona vs Valencia
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 70%
A tight one: we make it 70% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Barcelona70%——
OursMarket
Draw16%——
OursMarket
Valencia11%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 26% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 87% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Barcelona
WinWinDrawWin
- Jan 21 · at Benfica (A)5-4
- Jan 18 · at Getafe (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · v Real Betis (H)5-1
- Jan 4 · at Barbastro (A)4-0
Valencia
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Jan 19 · v Real Sociedad (H)1-0
- Jan 14 · at Ourense CF (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Jan 7 · at Eldense (A)2-0
- Jan 3 · v Real Madrid (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Barcelona | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 20% |
| Both teams scored | — | 40% |
| Clean sheets | — | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.