Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Mar 5 · 20:00 · FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Bayern München51%——
OursMarket
Draw19%——
OursMarket
Bayer 04 Leverkusen24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Bayern München
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Feb 28 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)3-1
- Feb 23 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)4-0
- Feb 18 · v Celtic (H)1-1
- Feb 15 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)0-0
- Feb 12 · at Celtic (A)2-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Mar 1 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)4-1
- Feb 22 · at Holstein Kiel (A)2-0
- Feb 15 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-0
- Feb 8 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 2 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | FC Bayern München | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-0 | 3-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.