Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 1 · 17:30 · FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Bayern München57%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Bayern München
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 29 · at FC Köln (A)4-1
- Oct 25 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)3-0
- Oct 22 · v Club Brugge (H)4-0
- Oct 18 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)3-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Oct 26 · v SC Freiburg (H)2-0
- Oct 21 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)2-7
- Oct 18 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)4-3
- Oct 4 · v FC Union Berlin (H)2-0
- Oct 1 · v PSV (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | FC Bayern München | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 10-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 4-5-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
FC Bayern München form·Bayer 04 Leverkusen form·Head-to-head record