DFB Pokal (Germany) · Sun, Aug 23 · 13:30 · FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt 98
Likeliest: FC Carl Zeiss Jena win · 53%
We make it 48% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 34%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Carl Zeiss Jena53%18%+35
OursMarket
Draw24%21%+2
OursMarket
Darmstadt 9823%61%−37
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 66% | −13 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 39% | +37 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 82% | −35 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 23% | +46 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
No recent results tracked.
Darmstadt 98
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Aug 16 · at SG Dynamo Dresden (A)0-1
- Aug 8 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-2
- May 17 · v Paderborn (H)0-2
- May 10 · at Preußen Münster (A)1-1
- May 3 · at Karlsruher SC (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Darmstadt 98 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 0-4-6 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Both teams scored | — | 70% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-5-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.