Superliga (Romania) · Fri, Oct 23 · 18:00 · FC Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Universitatea Cluj
Likeliest: FC Universitatea Cluj win · 40%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Corvinul Hunedoara28%31%−3
OursMarket
Draw32%28%+3
OursMarket
FC Universitatea Cluj40%41%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 72% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 41% | 43% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Corvinul Hunedoara
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at FC Rapid București (A)0-2
- Oct 9 · v FC Voluntari (H)3-2
- Sep 21 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)3-2
- Sep 13 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)0-1
- Sep 6 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
FC Universitatea Cluj
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Oct 19 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)2-2
- Oct 12 · v FC Rapid București (H)3-4
- Oct 8 · at CFR 1907 Cluj (A)3-1
- Sep 20 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-0
- Sep 14 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | FC Universitatea Cluj |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 2-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.