Superliga (Romania) · Fri, Oct 9 · 15:00 · FC Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari
Likeliest: FC Corvinul Hunedoara win · 54%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 57% for both teams to score. The market says 51%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Corvinul Hunedoara54%54%0
OursMarket
Draw23%25%−2
OursMarket
FC Voluntari23%20%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 51% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 80% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 46% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 2.3 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Corvinul Hunedoara
DrawDrawLossLossWin
- Sep 21 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)3-2
- Sep 13 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)0-1
- Sep 6 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
- Aug 29 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-1
- Aug 22 · at UTA Arad (A)0-0
FC Voluntari
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Sep 20 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)0-2
- Sep 12 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-2
- Sep 7 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
- Aug 28 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)2-2
- Aug 23 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | FC Corvinul Hunedoara | FC Voluntari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | 0-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.