Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Fri, Apr 10 · 18:00 · FC Den Bosch vs SC Cambuur
Likeliest: SC Cambuur win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Den Bosch37%35%+2
OursMarket
Draw22%24%−2
OursMarket
SC Cambuur41%41%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 65% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | 59% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 65% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 76% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 46% | +1 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Den Bosch
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Apr 6 · at Almere City (A)2-1
- Mar 21 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)3-2
- Mar 16 · v Jong PSV (H)1-0
- Mar 13 · at Jong Ajax (A)2-3
- Mar 8 · at Willem II (A)1-1
SC Cambuur
WinLossWinLossDraw
- Apr 6 · v FC Dordrecht (H)1-1
- Apr 3 · at VVV-Venlo (A)0-3
- Mar 24 · at FC Emmen (A)4-2
- Mar 20 · v Jong AZ (H)3-4
- Mar 16 · at Helmond Sport (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | FC Den Bosch | SC Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 7-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.