Superliga (Romania) · Fri, Oct 16 · 18:00 · FC Dinamo București vs FC Botoșani
Likeliest: FC Dinamo București win · 66%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 55% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Dinamo București66%65%+2
OursMarket
Draw22%22%0
OursMarket
FC Botoșani12%13%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 50% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 88% | 87% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 34% | 35% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 85% | 83% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Dinamo București
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Oct 9 · at Sepsi OSK (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)4-0
- Sep 11 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)3-1
- Sep 5 · v FCSB (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)1-1
FC Botoșani
DrawWinDrawLossWin
- Oct 10 · v UTA Arad (H)2-0
- Sep 19 · at CFR 1907 Cluj (A)1-3
- Sep 13 · at FC Argeș Pitești (A)1-1
- Sep 5 · v Sepsi OSK (H)5-0
- Aug 30 · at FC Farul Constanța (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | FC Dinamo București | FC Botoșani |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-2-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-0 | 0-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.