Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Sep 5 · 17:30 · FC Dinamo București vs FCSB
Likeliest: FC Dinamo București win · 46%
A 46% home win. The market says 40%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Dinamo București46%40%+6
OursMarket
Draw25%28%−3
OursMarket
FCSB29%32%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 51% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 56% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 68% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 60% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 55% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Dinamo București
DrawWinWinWinDraw
- Aug 29 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)1-1
- Aug 22 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)2-1
- Aug 15 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-0
- Aug 8 · v FC Voluntari (H)4-0
- Jul 31 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-1
FCSB
DrawDrawWinLossLoss
- Aug 30 · v UTA Arad (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at CFR 1907 Cluj (A)0-1
- Aug 17 · v FC Botoșani (H)3-2
- Aug 10 · at Sepsi OSK (A)0-0
- Aug 3 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | FC Dinamo București | FCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-1 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.