DFB Pokal (Germany) · Wed, Oct 29 · 19:45 · FC Köln vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Köln22%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
FC Bayern München56%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 28% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Köln
LossLossWinDrawLoss
- Oct 25 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-1
- Oct 3 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-0
- Sep 28 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)1-2
- Sep 20 · at RB Leipzig (A)1-3
FC Bayern München
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 25 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)3-0
- Oct 22 · v Club Brugge (H)4-0
- Oct 18 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)3-0
- Sep 30 · at Pafos FC (A)5-1
| Last 10 games | FC Köln | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 10-0-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 8-2-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.