Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Nov 2 · 14:30 · FC Köln vs Hamburger SV
Likeliest: FC Köln win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Köln51%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Hamburger SV25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Köln
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 29 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-4
- Oct 25 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-1
- Oct 3 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-0
- Sep 28 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)1-2
Hamburger SV
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Oct 28 · at Heidenheim (A)1-0
- Oct 25 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · at RB Leipzig (A)1-2
- Oct 5 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)4-0
- Sep 28 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | FC Köln | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.