Premier League (Ukraine) · Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 · FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Kolos Kovalivka
Likeliest: FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win · 46%
A 46% home win. The market says 29%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih46%29%+16
OursMarket
Draw25%29%−5
OursMarket
Kolos Kovalivka30%41%−11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 45% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 49% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 59% | +11 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 71% | −16 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 42% | +19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
LossWinDrawLoss
- Aug 30 · at Chornomorets Odesa (A)0-1
- Aug 16 · v FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv (H)1-1
- Aug 9 · at Zoria Luhansk (A)3-1
- Aug 1 · v Karpaty Lviv (H)1-4
Kolos Kovalivka
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Aug 28 · v Obolon Kyiv (H)0-0
- Aug 16 · at Dynamo Kyiv (A)1-2
- Jul 31 · at Zoria Luhansk (A)0-2
- May 21 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)1-0
- May 17 · v Obolon'-Brovar (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 30% |
| Both teams scored | — | 20% |
| Clean sheets | — | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.