Premier League (Ukraine) · Sun, Oct 18 · 10:00 · FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs LNZ Cherkasy
Likeliest: LNZ Cherkasy win · 53%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 53% for the away win. The market says 51%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih19%23%−4
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
LNZ Cherkasy53%51%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | 51% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 47% | 49% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 26% | 32% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
WinDrawLossDrawLoss
- Sep 18 · at Polissya Zhytomyr (A)0-1
- Sep 5 · v Kolos Kovalivka (H)2-2
- Aug 30 · at Chornomorets Odesa (A)0-1
- Aug 16 · v FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv (H)1-1
- Aug 9 · at Zoria Luhansk (A)3-1
LNZ Cherkasy
DrawDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 11 · v Kudrivka (H)2-1
- Sep 20 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)0-3
- Sep 12 · v Obolon Kyiv (H)3-1
- Sep 6 · at Dynamo Kyiv (A)0-0
- Aug 30 · v Veres Rivne (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-3 | 3-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.