2. Liga (Austria) · Sun, Sep 13 · 08:30 · FC Liefering vs SKN St. Pölten
Likeliest: SKN St. Pölten win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Liefering29%31%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
SKN St. Pölten45%44%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | 56% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 39% | 42% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Liefering
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Aug 28 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)3-2
- Aug 21 · v Young Violets Austria Wien (H)2-1
- Aug 16 · at First Vienna (A)2-2
- Aug 7 · v FC Hertha Wels (H)2-3
- Jul 31 · at Kapfenberger SV (A)4-0
SKN St. Pölten
LossLossLossLossWin
- Aug 28 · v Austria Salzburg (H)1-0
- Aug 21 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-1
- Aug 14 · v FC Blau Weiss Linz (H)0-1
- Aug 7 · v Young Violets Austria Wien (H)0-1
- Jul 31 · at Floridsdorfer AC (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | FC Liefering | SKN St. Pölten |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-1 | 1-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.