Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Oct 17 · 18:30 · FC Rapid București vs FC Corvinul Hunedoara
Likeliest: FC Rapid București win · 54%
A 29% draw. The market says 24%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Rapid București54%62%−9
OursMarket
Draw29%24%+6
OursMarket
FC Corvinul Hunedoara17%14%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 47% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 50% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | 86% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 38% | +9 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 76% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | 82% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Rapid București
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Oct 12 · at FC Universitatea Cluj (A)4-3
- Sep 18 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)3-1
- Sep 12 · v FC Voluntari (H)2-1
- Sep 6 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-0
- Aug 31 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)1-1
FC Corvinul Hunedoara
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Oct 9 · v FC Voluntari (H)3-2
- Sep 21 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)3-2
- Sep 13 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)0-1
- Sep 6 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
- Aug 29 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | FC Rapid București | FC Corvinul Hunedoara |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-1 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.