Superliga (Romania) · Mon, Aug 31 · 17:30 · FC Rapid București vs Universitatea Craiova
Likeliest: FC Rapid București win · 38%
We make it 59% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Rapid București38%33%+6
OursMarket
Draw25%28%−3
OursMarket
Universitatea Craiova37%40%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 47% | +12 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 50% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 67% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 45% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Rapid București
DrawWinDrawLossWin
- Aug 21 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)2-0
- Aug 15 · v FC Dinamo București (H)0-1
- Aug 7 · at UTA Arad (A)0-0
- Aug 2 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)3-1
- Jul 27 · at FC Botoșani (A)1-1
Universitatea Craiova
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
- Aug 27 · at FC Ararat-Armenia (A)0-1
- Aug 23 · v FC Voluntari (H)3-1
- Aug 20 · v FC Ararat-Armenia (H)1-1
- Aug 16 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-1
- Aug 13 · v KuPS (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Rapid București | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-1 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 57% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.