Schweizer Cup (Switzerland) · Fri, Oct 16 · 18:00 · FC Rapperswil-Jona vs FC St. Gallen 1879
Likeliest: draw · 36%
Likely score: 1–1
A tight one: we make it 36% for the draw. The market says 33%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Rapperswil-Jona30%33%−3
OursMarket
Draw36%33%+3
OursMarket
FC St. Gallen 187934%33%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 69% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 56% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 67% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | 67% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 2.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Rapperswil-Jona
DrawLossWinWinLoss
- Oct 9 · v FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy (H)0-3
- Sep 18 · at Neuchâtel Xamax (A)3-0
- Sep 11 · v Yverdon-Sport FC (H)2-0
- Sep 4 · at FC Aarau (A)2-3
- Sep 1 · v SC Kriens (H)1-1
FC St. Gallen 1879
WinLossLossWinWin
- Oct 11 · v FC Lausanne-Sport (H)1-0
- Sep 20 · at Basel (A)3-1
- Sep 16 · at FC Lugano (A)1-4
- Sep 12 · v FC Sion (H)0-3
- Sep 6 · at Servette FC (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | FC Rapperswil-Jona | FC St. Gallen 1879 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 4-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.