Oddset Pokalen (Denmark) · Wed, Oct 28 · 19:00 · FC Roskilde vs AGF
Likeliest: FC Roskilde win · 42%
A 29% draw. The market says 17%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Roskilde42%11%+30
OursMarket
Draw29%17%+11
OursMarket
AGF30%71%−42
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 63% | −11 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 52% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 29% | +42 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 89% | −30 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 83% | −11 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 14% | +45 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Roskilde
No recent results tracked.
AGF
WinLossDrawDrawWin
- Oct 25 · v Viborg FF (H)2-1
- Oct 22 · v KF Egnatia (H)1-1
- Oct 18 · at FC København (A)1-1
- Oct 15 · at KAA Gent (A)0-1
- Oct 12 · v Sønderjyske Fodbold (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | FC Roskilde | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Both teams scored | — | 60% |
| Clean sheets | — | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.