Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Sep 20 · 15:30 · FC Schalke 04 vs SV 07 Elversberg
Likeliest: FC Schalke 04 win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. The market says 47%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Schalke 0447%47%0
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
SV 07 Elversberg27%27%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 63% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 69% | 66% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 73% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Schalke 04
DrawLossDrawWin
- Sep 11 · at 1. FC Union Berlin (A)3-1
- Sep 5 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-0
- Aug 30 · at FC Augsburg (A)0-3
- Aug 24 · at Hallescher FC (A)2-2
SV 07 Elversberg
WinWinWinLoss
- Sep 13 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-2
- Sep 5 · at Borussia M'gladbach (A)4-3
- Aug 29 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)3-2
- Aug 22 · at MSV Duisburg (A)3-1