Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Aug 16 · 15:00 · FC Spartak Trnava vs MFK Zemplín Michalovce
Likeliest: FC Spartak Trnava win · 52%
A 24% away win. The market says 14%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Spartak Trnava52%63%−11
OursMarket
Draw25%23%+2
OursMarket
MFK Zemplín Michalovce24%14%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 52% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 86% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 37% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 77% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 82% | −13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Spartak Trnava
DrawDrawDrawWinWin
- Aug 8 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)3-0
- Aug 2 · at KFC Komárno (A)2-1
- Jul 28 · at FC CSKA 1948 Sofia (A)0-0
- Jul 25 · v MFK Skalica (H)1-1
- Jul 22 · v FC CSKA 1948 Sofia (H)0-0
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
LossLossDraw
- Aug 8 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
- Aug 2 · v MŠK Žilina (H)0-1
- Jul 25 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | FC Spartak Trnava | MFK Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-0 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | — |
| Both teams scored | 40% | — |
| Clean sheets | 60% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.