Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Oct 17 · 16:00 · FC Spartak Trnava vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Likeliest: ŠK Slovan Bratislava win · 46%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 46% for the away win. The market says 47%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Spartak Trnava26%29%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%25%+3
OursMarket
ŠK Slovan Bratislava46%47%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | 61% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 71% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Spartak Trnava
DrawWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 14 · at PFK Piešťany (A)2-0
- Oct 11 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)3-1
- Sep 20 · at DAC 1904 (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v FC Košice (H)5-2
- Sep 6 · at MFK Ružomberok (A)1-1
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
DrawWinWinDrawLoss
- Oct 14 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-3
- Oct 10 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-1
- Sep 19 · at KFC Komárno (A)2-1
- Sep 16 · at FC Nitra (A)3-1
- Sep 13 · v MŠK Žilina (H)3-3
| Last 10 games | FC Spartak Trnava | ŠK Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 6-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.