Canadian Premier League (Canada) · Fri, Oct 16 · 23:00 · FC Supra Du Quebec vs York United FC
Likeliest: FC Supra Du Quebec win · 67%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 67% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Supra Du Quebec67%——
OursMarket
Draw16%——
OursMarket
York United FC17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 33% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 84% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 80% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 3.0 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Supra Du Quebec
WinDrawWinWinDraw
- Oct 10 · v Vancouver FC (H)2-2
- Oct 7 · at York United FC (A)2-1
- Oct 4 · v Pacific FC (H)5-0
- Sep 26 · at Cavalry FC (A)0-0
- Sep 20 · at Atlético Ottawa (A)2-0
York United FC
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 12 · at Forge FC (A)0-5
- Oct 7 · v FC Supra Du Quebec (H)1-2
- Oct 3 · v Cavalry FC (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · v Pacific FC (H)3-4
- Sep 24 · at Vancouver FC (A)3-3
| Last 10 games | FC Supra Du Quebec | York United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 0-4-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.