Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Mar 1 · 13:30 · FC Twente vs Feyenoord
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 39%
A 39% away win. The market says 33%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Twente38%42%−4
OursMarket
Draw23%25%−2
OursMarket
Feyenoord39%33%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 60% | +2 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | 67% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 58% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 75% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 56% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Twente
DrawLossWinDrawWin
- Feb 22 · v FC Groningen (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · at Telstar (A)1-1
- Feb 7 · v SC Heerenveen (H)5-0
- Feb 3 · at AZ (A)1-2
- Jan 30 · at NAC Breda (A)2-2
Feyenoord
LossLossWinWinWin
- Feb 22 · v Telstar (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)1-0
- Feb 8 · at FC Utrecht (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · at PSV (A)0-3
- Jan 29 · at Real Betis (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Twente | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-3-1 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.