Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Feb 23 · 13:30 · FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen
Likeliest: FC Twente win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Twente45%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
NEC Nijmegen31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Twente
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Feb 16 · v RKC Waalwijk (H)2-0
- Feb 13 · v Bodø / Glimt (H)2-1
- Feb 9 · at SC Heerenveen (A)3-3
- Feb 2 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)2-2
- Jan 30 · v Beşiktaş (H)1-0
NEC Nijmegen
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Feb 16 · v Almere City (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · at FC Groningen (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v PSV (H)3-3
- Jan 19 · v Fortuna Sittard (H)4-1
- Jan 11 · at PEC Zwolle (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | FC Twente | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.