Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 15 · 14:30 · FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

    Likeliest: FC Union Berlin win · 53%

    A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    FC Union Berlin53%——
    OursMarket
    Draw24%——
    OursMarket
    Borussia Mönchengladbach23%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X77%——
    Double chance X247%——
    Double chance 1276%——
    Draw no bet (home)70%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    FC Union Berlin
    LossWinLossDrawWin
    • Feb 8 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)4-0
    • Feb 1 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
    • Jan 26 · at St. Pauli (A)0-3
    • Jan 19 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
    • Jan 15 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-2
    Borussia Mönchengladbach
    LossLossWinWinDraw
    • Feb 8 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
    • Feb 1 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
    • Jan 25 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)3-0
    • Jan 18 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-3
    • Jan 14 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)1-5
    Last 10 gamesFC Union BerlinBorussia Mönchengladbach
    Won-drawn-lost2-1-32-1-3
    Goals scored a game1.01.3
    Goals conceded a game1.31.8
    Over 2.5 goals50%67%
    Both teams scored17%67%
    Clean sheets33%17%
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    FC Union Berlin form·Borussia Mönchengladbach form·Head-to-head record

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