Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Mar 15 · 14:30 · FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: FC Bayern München win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Union Berlin36%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
FC Bayern München40%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Union Berlin
WinLossLossLossWin
- Mar 9 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)2-1
- Mar 2 · v Holstein Kiel (H)0-1
- Feb 22 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-6
- Feb 15 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)4-0
FC Bayern München
WinWinWinLossWin
- Mar 11 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)2-0
- Mar 8 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)2-3
- Mar 5 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)3-0
- Feb 28 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)3-1
- Feb 23 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | FC Union Berlin | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 5-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
FC Union Berlin form·FC Bayern München form·Head-to-head record