Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 1 · 17:30 · FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Likeliest: FC Union Berlin win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Union Berlin43%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
RB Leipzig31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Union Berlin
LossLossWinLoss
- Jan 26 · at St. Pauli (A)0-3
- Jan 19 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
- Jan 15 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-2
- Jan 11 · at Heidenheim (A)0-2
RB Leipzig
LossDrawWinDrawLoss
- Jan 29 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-2
- Jan 22 · v Sporting CP (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)3-3
- Jan 15 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Union Berlin | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 83% |
| Both teams scored | — | 83% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.