Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 1 · 14:30 · FC Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg
Likeliest: FC Union Berlin win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Union Berlin41%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
SC Freiburg37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Union Berlin
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Oct 29 · v DSC Arminia Bielefeld (H)2-1
- Oct 24 · at Werder Bremen (A)0-1
- Oct 17 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)3-1
- Oct 4 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)0-2
- Sep 28 · v Hamburger SV (H)0-0
SC Freiburg
DrawDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 29 · at Fortuna Düsseldorf (A)3-1
- Oct 26 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)0-2
- Oct 23 · v FC Utrecht (H)2-0
- Oct 19 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-2
- Oct 5 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | FC Union Berlin | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 6-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.