Superliga (Romania) · Mon, Sep 14 · 15:00 · FC Universitatea Cluj vs SC Oțelul Galați
Likeliest: FC Universitatea Cluj win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. The market says 55%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Universitatea Cluj51%55%−4
OursMarket
Draw26%24%+2
OursMarket
SC Oțelul Galați23%21%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 51% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 79% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 45% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Universitatea Cluj
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Sep 7 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)0-4
- Aug 28 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
- Aug 17 · v UTA Arad (H)2-1
- Aug 3 · v FC Botoșani (H)2-1
SC Oțelul Galați
LossDrawWinDrawLoss
- Sep 6 · v FC Rapid București (H)0-1
- Aug 28 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-2
- Aug 24 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)1-1
- Aug 9 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | FC Universitatea Cluj | SC Oțelul Galați |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.