Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Nov 9 · 11:15 · FC Utrecht vs Ajax
Likeliest: Ajax win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Utrecht35%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Ajax39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Utrecht
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Nov 6 · v Porto (H)1-1
- Nov 2 · v NEC Nijmegen (H)1-0
- Oct 26 · at AZ (A)1-4
- Oct 23 · at SC Freiburg (A)0-2
- Oct 18 · v FC Volendam (H)3-1
Ajax
LossLossWinDrawLoss
- Nov 5 · v Galatasaray (H)0-3
- Nov 1 · v SC Heerenveen (H)1-1
- Oct 26 · at FC Twente (A)3-2
- Oct 22 · at Chelsea (A)1-5
- Oct 18 · v AZ (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | FC Utrecht | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.