Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Mar 1 · 15:30 · FC Utrecht vs NAC Breda
Likeliest: FC Utrecht win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Utrecht50%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
NAC Breda25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Utrecht
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Feb 15 · at PSV (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Almere City (H)0-1
- Feb 4 · at Heracles Almelo (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at PEC Zwolle (A)3-3
- Jan 24 · at Heracles Almelo (A)1-1
NAC Breda
WinLossDrawLossDraw
- Feb 15 · v Feyenoord (H)0-0
- Feb 9 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)0-5
- Jan 31 · v Heracles Almelo (H)1-1
- Jan 25 · at PSV (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v FC Twente (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Utrecht | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-2 | 1-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.