Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:30 · FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen
Likeliest: FC Utrecht win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Utrecht46%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
NEC Nijmegen29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Utrecht
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Mar 9 · at Willem II (A)3-2
- Mar 1 · v NAC Breda (H)1-0
- Feb 15 · at PSV (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Almere City (H)0-1
- Feb 4 · at Heracles Almelo (A)0-2
NEC Nijmegen
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Mar 9 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)2-3
- Mar 1 · at Feyenoord (A)0-0
- Feb 23 · at FC Twente (A)0-2
- Feb 16 · v Almere City (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · at FC Groningen (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | FC Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 2-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.