Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Nov 2 · 15:45 · FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen
Likeliest: FC Utrecht win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Utrecht50%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
NEC Nijmegen25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Utrecht
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 26 · at AZ (A)1-4
- Oct 23 · at SC Freiburg (A)0-2
- Oct 18 · v FC Volendam (H)3-1
- Oct 5 · at Feyenoord (A)2-3
- Oct 2 · at Brann (A)0-1
NEC Nijmegen
WinDrawDrawDrawWin
- Oct 30 · at Rijnsburgse Boys (A)3-2
- Oct 25 · at PEC Zwolle (A)2-2
- Oct 18 · v FC Twente (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)1-1
- Sep 28 · v AZ (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.