Swiss Super League (Switzerland) · Sat, Sep 5 · 16:00 · FC Vaduz vs FC Lausanne-Sport
Likeliest: FC Vaduz win · 51%
We make it 49% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 36%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Vaduz51%39%+12
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+2
OursMarket
FC Lausanne-Sport23%36%−13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 64% | −13 |
| Both teams score | 45% | 65% | −19 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 64% | +13 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 61% | −11 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 52% | +17 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Vaduz
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Sep 2 · at FC Luzern (A)1-2
- Aug 30 · v Grasshopper Club Zürich (H)5-2
- Aug 23 · at Young Boys (A)2-4
- Aug 13 · v Inter Turku (H)2-2
- Aug 9 · at FC Sion (A)2-3
FC Lausanne-Sport
WinDrawLossLossDraw
- Sep 2 · at FC Thun (A)0-0
- Aug 29 · v FC Zürich (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at FC Luzern (A)0-1
- Aug 8 · v Young Boys (H)2-2
- Aug 1 · at Basel (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | FC Vaduz | FC Lausanne-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 1-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.