Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Tue, Mar 11 · 19:00 · FC Volendam vs Telstar
Likeliest: FC Volendam win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FC Volendam48%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Telstar28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Volendam
LossWinWinWinWin
- Mar 7 · at TOP Oss (A)2-0
- Feb 28 · v Helmond Sport (H)3-1
- Feb 22 · at VVV-Venlo (A)3-1
- Feb 15 · at FC Emmen (A)2-1
- Feb 7 · v ADO Den Haag (H)1-2
Telstar
WinWinLossWinWin
- Mar 7 · v FC Dordrecht (H)5-0
- Mar 3 · at Jong AZ (A)2-1
- Feb 21 · v Excelsior (H)1-3
- Feb 14 · at FC Den Bosch (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Jong Utrecht (H)6-0
| Last 10 games | FC Volendam | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-2 | 6-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 56% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.