Superliga (Romania) · Sun, Sep 20 · 11:00 · FC Voluntari vs FC Universitatea Cluj
Likeliest: FC Universitatea Cluj win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the away win. The market says 45%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Voluntari26%29%−3
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
FC Universitatea Cluj46%45%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 58% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 54% | 55% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 71% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 37% | 39% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Voluntari
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Sep 12 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-2
- Sep 7 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
- Aug 28 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)2-2
- Aug 23 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)1-3
- Aug 14 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)1-2
FC Universitatea Cluj
WinLossLossLossWin
- Sep 14 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)3-0
- Sep 7 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)0-4
- Aug 28 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
- Aug 17 · v UTA Arad (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FC Voluntari | FC Universitatea Cluj |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 0-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.