Chance Liga (Czech Republic) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · FC Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians Praha 1905
Likeliest: FC Zbrojovka Brno win · 43%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FC Zbrojovka Brno43%44%−1
OursMarket
Draw32%30%+2
OursMarket
Bohemians Praha 190526%27%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 56% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 70% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FC Zbrojovka Brno
WinWinLossLossWin
- Oct 18 · at 1. FC Slovácko (A)2-1
- Oct 10 · v FK Jablonec (H)0-1
- Sep 19 · at Mladá Boleslav (A)0-2
- Sep 16 · at Králův Dvůr (A)3-0
- Sep 12 · v SK Líšeň (H)2-1
Bohemians Praha 1905
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 14 · v Mladá Boleslav (H)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Baník Ostrava (H)1-0
- Sep 30 · at FC Vsetin (A)5-0
- Sep 19 · at FK Pardubice (A)1-2
- Sep 12 · v 1. FC Slovácko (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | FC Zbrojovka Brno | Bohemians Praha 1905 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 2-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.