Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Oct 24 · 18:00 · FCSB vs FC Rapid București
Likeliest: FC Rapid București win · 36%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 36% for the away win. The market says 34%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FCSB34%38%−4
OursMarket
Draw30%28%+2
OursMarket
FC Rapid București36%34%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 66% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 62% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 52% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FCSB
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 19 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-1
- Oct 10 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)1-0
- Sep 19 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)0-5
- Sep 14 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-2
- Sep 5 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
FC Rapid București
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v FC Corvinul Hunedoara (H)2-0
- Oct 12 · at FC Universitatea Cluj (A)4-3
- Sep 18 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)3-1
- Sep 12 · v FC Voluntari (H)2-1
- Sep 6 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | FCSB | FC Rapid București |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 3-2-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.